Publications in Progress - check back soon for updates!

[28] Stevenson, S., Powell, B., Cobb, K., Merrifield, M., Noone, D., & Nusbaumer, J. 2017, “Dynamics of Seawater Oxygen Isotopic Composition”, Paleoceanography

[27] Stevenson, S., Fasullo, J., Otto-Bliesner, B., Coats, S., Overpeck, J., Parsons, L., Loope, G., & Ault, T. R. 2017, “Can Climate Variability Mitigate 21st Century Megadrought Risk?”, Nature Climate Change

[26] Stevenson, S., Fasullo, J., Otto-Bliesner, B., Coats, S., Overpeck, J., Parsons, L., Loope, G., & Ault, T. R. 2017, “Dynamical Controls on Last Millennium Megadrought Risk”, Journal of Climate

 

Refereed Publications

[25] Ault, T. R., St. George, S., Smerdon, J., Coats, S., Mankin, J., Carrillo, C., Cook, B., & Stevenson, S. 2017, “A robust null hypothesis for the potential causes of megadrought in western North America”, Journal of Climate,  submitted

[24] Smerdon, J., Luterbacher, J., Phipps, S., Anchukaitis, K., Ault, T., Coats, S., Cobb, K., Cook, B., Colose, C., Felis, T., Gallant, A., Jungclaus, J., Konecky, B., LeGrande, A., Lewis, S., Lopatka, A., Man, W., Mankin, J., Maxwell, J.,Bette Otto-Bliesner, Partin, J., Singh, D., Steiger, N., Stevenson, S., Tierney, J., Zanchettin, D., Zhang, H., Atwood, A., Andreu-Hayles, L., Baek, S., Buckley, B., Cook, E., D'Arrigo, R., Dee, S., Griffiths, M.,  Kulkarni, C., Kushnir, Y., Lehner, F., Leland, C., Linderholm, H., Okazaki, A., Palmer, J., Piovano, E., Raible, C., Rao, M., Scheff, J., Schmidt, G., Seager, R., Widmann, M., Williams, A. P., and Xoplaki, E. 2017, “Comparing data and model estimates of hydroclimate variability and change over the Common Era”, Climate of the Past PAGES 2k special issue, submitted

[23] Fasullo, J. T., Tomas, R., Stevenson, S., Otto-Bliesner, B., Brady, E. & Wahl, E. 2017, “A Future Year Without A Summer”, Nature Communications, in
revision

[22] Stevenson, S., Otto-Bliesner, B., Fasullo, J., Tomas, R., & Gao, C. 2017, “The Role of Eruption Season in Reconciling Model and Proxy Responses to Tropical Volcanism”, PNAS, 114, 8, 1822-1826, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1612505114
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[21] Dassie, E. & MARPA Project Members 2017, “Save Our Marine Annually-Resolved Proxy Archives”, EOS, Transactions, American Geophysical Union
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[20] Stevenson, S., Capotondi, A., Fasullo, J. & Otto-Bliesner, B., 2017, “Forced Changes to 20th Century ENSO Diversity in a Last Millennium Context”, Climate Dynamics ENSO diversity special collection, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3573-5
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[19] Fasullo, J., Otto-Bliesner, B., & Stevenson, S. 2016, “ENSO’s Changing Influence on Heat Waves and Wildfire In a Warming Climate”, Nature Climate Change, in revision

[18] Stevenson, S., Otto-Bliesner, B., Fasullo, J. & Brady, E. 2016, “El Nino-Like Hydroclimate Responses to Last Millennium Volcanic Eruptions”, Journal of Climate, 29, 2907-2921
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[17] Stevenson, S., Powell, B., Cobb, K., Merrifield, M., Nusbaumer, J., & Noone, D. 2015, “Characterizing Seawater Oxygen Isotopic Variability in a Regional Ocean Modeling Framework: Implications for Coral Proxy Records”, Paleoceanography, 30 (11), 1573-1593
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[16] Otto-Bliesner, B., Brady, E., Fasullo, J., Jahn, A., Landrum, L., Rosenbloom, N., Stevenson, S., Fasullo, J., Mai, A. & Strand, G. 2015 “Climate Variability and Change since 850 C.E.: An Ensemble Approach with the Community Earth System Model (CESM)”, BAMS, 97 (5), 735-754, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00233.1
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[15] Bracegirdle, T. J., Bertler, J., Carleton, A. M., Ding, Q., Fogwill, J., Fyfe, J. C., Hellmer, H., Karpechko, A. Y., Kusahara, K., Larour, E., Mayewski, P. A., Meier, W. N., Polvani, L. M., Russell, J. M., Stevenson, S., Turner, J., van Wessem, J. M., & Wainer, I. 2015, “A process-based approach to climate model evaluation for Antarctica and the Southern Ocean”, BAMS, 92, ES23-ES26, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00108.1
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[14] Carilli, J., McGregor, H.V., Gaudry, J., Stevenson, S., Donner, S., Gagan, M., Wong, H. & Fink, D., 2015 “Response to comment: Geochemical records from equatorial Pacific corals suggest a weakening Walker circulation”, Paleoceanography, 29 (11), 1031-1045

[13] Chikamoto, Y., Timmermann, A., Stevenson, S. & Langford, S. 2015, “ Decadal predictability of soil water, vegetation, and wildfire frequency over North America”, Climate Dynamics
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[12] Stevenson, S., Timmermann, A., Chikamoto, Y. & Langford, S. 2015, “Stochastically Generated North American Megadroughts”, Journal of Climate, 28 (5), 1865-1880
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[11] Carilli, J., McGregor, H.V., Gaudry, J., Stevenson, S., Donner, S., Gagan, M., Wong, H. & Fink, D., 2014 “Geochemical records from equatorial Pacific corals suggest a weakening Walker circulation”, Paleoceanography, 29 (11), 1031-1045
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[10] Langford, S., Stevenson, S., & Noone, D. 2014, “Analysis of Low-Frequency Precipitation Variability over North America in the CMIP5 20th Century Simulations”, Journal of Climate, 27, 2735-2756
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[9] Haney, S., Bachman, S., Cooper, B., Haney, S., Kupper, S., McCaffrey, K., van Roekel, L., Stevenson, S., Webb, A., Fox-Kemper, B. and Ferrari, R. 2013: “Hurricane wake restratification by 1, 2 and 3-dimensional processes”, Journal of Marine Research, 70(6), 824-850
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[8] Stevenson, S., McGregor, H.V., Phipps, S. & Fox-Kemper, B. 2013, “Quantifying Errors in Coral-Based ENSO Estimates: Towards Improved Forward Modeling of δ18O”, Paleoceanography, 28, 1-17
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[7] Phipps, S., McGregor, H. V.,  Gergis, J., Gallant, A., Neukom, R., Stevenson, S.,  Ackerley, D., Brown, J., Fischer, M., Lorrey, D.,  & van Ommen, T. 2013, “Palaeoclimate data-model integration: Concepts and application to the climate of the past 1,500 years”, Journal ofClimate Aus2K special issue, 26, 6915-6936.
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[6] Stevenson, S., Rajagopalan, B., & Fox-Kemper, B. 2013, “Generalized Linear Modeling of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation with Application to Seasonal Forecasting and Climate Change Projections”, Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 118 (8), 3764-3781        
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[5] Stevenson, S., Fox-Kemper, B. & Jochum, M.: 2012, “Understanding the ENSO-CO2 Link Using Stabilized Climate Simulations”, Journal of Climate, 25 (22), 7917-7936           
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[4] Bates, S. C., Fox-Kemper, B., Jayne, S., Large, W. G., Stevenson, S., & Yeager, S. G.: 2012, “Seasonal to interannual variability in air-sea fluxes and the upper-ocean”, Journal of Climate CCSM4 special issue, 25 (22), 7781-7801             
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[3] Stevenson, S. 2012, “Significant Changes to ENSO Strength and Impacts in the 21st Century: Results from CMIP5”,
Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L17703       
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[2] Stevenson, S., Fox-Kemper, B., Jochum, M., Neale, R., Deser, C. & Meehl, G. 2012, “Will There Be A Significant Change to El Niño in the 21st Century?”, Journal of Climate CCSM4 special issue, 25, 2129-2145 (doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00252.1)         
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[1] Stevenson, S., Fox-Kemper, B., Jochum, M., Rajagopalan, B. & Yeager, S.: 2010, “ENSO Model Validation Using Wavelet Probability Analysis”, Journal of Climate, 23, 5540-5547       
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